Daniel Dubois and Joe Joyce will finally collide in their long-awaited heavyweight showdown on Saturday night. The bout is due to begin at 10.00pm at the Church House in Westminster and it’s available to watch and stream for BT Sport subscribers with no extra pay-per-view fee required.
The vacant EBU heavyweight title is also on the line, but there is also the very real potential for the winner to grab a world title shot. Dubois is the WBO’s No 2-ranked challenger for Anthony Joshua’s heavyweight crown, a belt Joshua may vacate to safeguard a clash with Tyson Fury in 2021.
Both fighters are unbeaten, having stopped all but one of their opponents in the professional ranks. Dubois brings a perfect 15-fight record, while Rio 2016 Olympic silver medallist Joyce has yet to taste defeat in an 11-bout pro career. Something has to give in London on Saturday night.
Scroll down for our best predictions and betting tips for this domestic heavyweight humdinger as well as a brilliant betting offer to back them with.
Dubois v Joyce prediction: Dubois to bring the curtain down early
Odds are correct at the time of and subject to change
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We are backing under 6.5 rounds at 5/6 with bet365 in the belief that Daniel Dubois could end things early. ‘Dynamite’ has won 14 of his 15 professional fights by way of knockout and Kevin Johnson is the only man to have heard the final bell after stepping into the ring with him.
In fact, Johnson is the only fighter to have gone beyond five rounds with the Greenwich puncher and that includes some decent operators. Nathan Gorman brought a perfect 16-fight record into his bout with ‘DDD’ but he was dispatched within five rounds.
Joyce is bigger, more physical and probably in better shape than Gorman, which would lead you to think he could be more durable.
However, there are major question marks about the defensive abilities of ‘the Juggernaut’. The 35-year-old can be easy to hit and moves forward in straight lines with little or no head movement.
That’s all well and good when he is outclassing and overwhelming opponents through pressure. However, that is unlikely to work against Dubois, who is not a man you want to be getting tagged by too often.
The Juggernaut has some good wins on his resumé with the likes of Bermane Stiverne, Bryant Jennings, and Alexander Ustinov all falling at the hands of Joyce.
However, Stiverne was in poor shape and Jennings didn't have the power to stop Joyce in his tracks. It's worth remembering that Joyce didn't turn professional until fairly late in his career and he is now 35.
That decision must have been partly down to the Putney puncher not having the power that some in the division carry and the fact he is so easy to hit.
Joyce clearly needs to make moves in the division in quick time, unlike his 23-year-old opponent, and that need to progres and a good payday are probably the reasons the Juggernaut has taken this fight.
Dubois isn’t just a banger, though. There’s every chance that the Greenwich man is going to develop into one of the top heavyweights in the division and potentially become a world champion.
The confidence of DDD’s camp and the man himself is clear, given there has been no hesitation to throw him in with unbeaten opponents such as Gorman, rather than pad his record with fighters past their best.
Again there was no delay in agreeing to fight the unbeaten Joyce and it seems as though the Dubois team know they have a special fighter on their hands.
There’s an opportunity to get on board with Dubois while the prices still seem to underestimate his ability and everything looks set for an early finish from him.
Tip: Under 6.5 rounds - 5/6 with bet365
Dubois v Joyce betting tip: value about Dynamite TKO
Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Joyce is a tough fighter but his reputation for being a resilient boxer comes from the fact he gets hit so often. That was evident in the Juggernaut’s amateur career as well as his professional efforts and the problem he has here is that he is in with one of the biggest punchers on the British scene and potentially the world stage.
There are unlikely to be many boxers on the planet who can withstand the power of Dubois and it’s difficult to see Joyce having the movement and defence to avoid the big-hitting Londoner. Take the fight to end before the seventh round at 5/6 with bet365.
Another wager to consider comes in the exact method of victory market. Dubois is 11/10 to win by technical knockout with bet365 and that could be a value play. Joyce is durable and game and it’s likely the ref will think he’s had enough even if the Juggernaut wants to continue.
Tip: Exact method of victory: Dubois by technical knockout – 11/10 with bet365
Looking for more Boxing predictions and betting tips?
Sweet science sage Henry Hardwicke has also run the rule over the Dubois vs Joyce round-betting odds and given you his selections.
Meanwhile, on the other side of the Altantic, Mike Tyson vs Roy Jones Jr is taking place in Los Angeles this weekend. Read our Tyson vs Jones Jr prediction. You can also find out more about that exhibition clash of the legends in our Tyson vs Jones Jr guide.